POLYNOMIAL MODELING. MARKET CYCLES AND ECONOMY OF TESSON HOLDING LTD.

This study uses advanced mathematics to overcome the limitations of traditional linear analyses; it is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.

It employs 3rd and 6th order models and differential calculus to detect price floors, ceilings, and turning points, accumulation, growth, and exhaustion phases, and provides a better fit to short and long cycles, with predictions up to 360 days.

Cycles and Economy

The calculated cycles last from 129 to 187 days, aligned with reality. Trough: economic contraction, price close to book value; expansion: ~187 days, greater efficiency and favorable returns. Peak of the credit cycle, beginning of a slowdown. Monetary policy directly influences high interest rates, which compress values; low interest rates, which expand them. Companies with pricing power are more resilient to inflation.

The ideal entry point is located at the calculated valley (around days 62-83), minimizing risk, and the planned exit point is between 129-187 days; more than 212-250 days = high risk of a fall. Do not confuse this with the maximum upward velocity that precedes the exhaustion of the cycle. Respecting the timeframe reduces the risk mathematically to almost zero.