viernes, 4 de septiembre de 2026

NASDAQ 100


El Nasdaq 100 es un índice bursátil de Estados Unidos que mide el rendimiento de las 100 empresas no financieras más grandes que cotizan en la bolsa, su composición: Incluye a 100 compañías líderes de gran capitalización en sectores como tecnología, salud, consumo y telecomunicaciones.: No incluye a bancos ni empresas dedicadas puramente a inversiones. Agrupa tanto a empresas de Estados Unidos como internacionales.
Su ponderación se basa en la capitalización de mercado, lo que significa que las empresas más grandes tienen mayor influencia en su valor.https://drive.google.com/file/d/1DzxMY6SI2PraIXWdsthzhGR82HbOQuAQ/view?usp=drive_link

jueves, 3 de septiembre de 2026

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, ECONOMETRIC MODELING AND PROBABILISTIC METRICS


How to analyze the market without leaving it to chance?

This study of the COLCAP Index combines statistics, econometrics, and cycle analysis to clearly answer:

• Sustained upward trend

• Short-term correction on the way

• Key levels, measured risk, and a forecast with 99.42% confidence

The market doesn't crash suddenly: the cycle gives warning before it changes.

If you would like a detailed and personalized report on any stock, index, or financial asset in the world, with the same scientific, statistical, and econometric rigor as this study, I can prepare it for you. The service is affordably priced, tailored to the scope and depth you require.

Write to me, and I'll gladly share all the information with you. Listen to the podcast:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1EdusgrEjYoo3qrmAcjm2le0CA8nVfItm/view?usp=drive_link

 


ANÁLISIS TÉCNICO, MODELACIÓN ECONOMÉTRICA Y MÉTRICAS PROBABILÍSTICAS


 ¿Cómo analizar el mercado sin dejarlo al azar?

Este estudio del Índice COLCAP combina estadística, econometría y análisis de ciclos para

responder con claridad:

• Tendencia alcista sostenida

• Corrección en camino en el corto plazo

• Niveles clave, riesgo medido y pronóstico con 99,42% de confianza

El mercado no se rompe de golpe: el ciclo avisa antes de cambiar.

Si desea contar con un informe detallado y personalizado sobre cualquier acción, índice o activo financiero del mundo, con el mismo rigor científico, estadístico y econométrico que este estudio, puedo elaborarlo para usted. El servicio tiene un costo accesible, adaptado al alcance y profundidad que requiera.

Escríbeme y con gusto te comparto toda la información. Escucha el podcast:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1idwFVC3ss5vJsABoNejf3dpU9y-k9RUm/view?usp=drive_link

miércoles, 2 de septiembre de 2026

CRITICAL ANALYSIS: AGRO-ENVIRONMENTAL STATISTICS AS A METHODOLOGICAL MANIFESTO


 

Structure and Rigor

A work that solidly articulates statistics, economics, and the environment, with a clear methodological foundation organized by analytical axes.

Applied Tools

The development deeply integrates:

• Statistical and econometric analysis

• Economic and production models

• Assessment of externalities and environmental impact

• Data management and processing

Highlighted Value

It does not merely describe —it questions, proposes, and connects scientific knowledge with the agro-environmental reality. An essential work to understand —and transform— the relationship between production, economics, and nature.

If you are interested in this work, please do not hesitate to contact me. I am currently finalizing its preparation and, while completing the editing process, I am building a list of people who wish to be kept informed about its progress, publication date, and purchasing options. Your interest is the best support for this work. Write to me and I will keep you updated on everything!

Contact me here: fs1950@gmail.com

Your WhatsApp : +573226724892

#AgroEnvironmentalEconomics #Statistics #Econometrics #Environment #Research

#AcademicBook #SustainableDevelopment

ANÁLISIS CRÍTICO SOBRE, LA ESTADÍSTICA AGROAMBIENTAL COMO MANIFIESTO METODOLÓGICO


 


Estructura y rigor

Un trabajo que articula de forma sólida estadística, economía y medio ambiente, con una base metodológica clara y ordenada por ejes analíticos.

Herramientas aplicadas

 El desarrollo integra de manera profunda:

• Análisis estadístico y econométrico

• Modelos económicos y de producción

• Evaluación de externalidades e impacto ambiental

• Manejo y procesamiento de datos

Valor destacado

 No solo describe, sino que cuestiona, propone y conecta el conocimiento científico con la realidad agroambiental. Una obra necesaria para entender —y transformar— la relación entre producción, economía y naturaleza.

Si estás interesado en esta obra, no dudes en ponerte en contacto conmigo. Estoy finalizando su elaboración y, mientras completo el proceso de edición, estoy conformando una lista de personas que deseen estar informadas sobre su avance, fecha de publicación y modalidades de adquisición. Tu interés es el mejor impulso para este trabajo. ¡Escríbeme y te mantendré al tanto de todo!

Contáctame aquí: fs1950@gmail.com

WhatsApp +573226724892

domingo, 30 de agosto de 2026

MODELADO CUANTITATIVO DE NUBANK (NU): DEL AGOTAMIENTO DE CORTO PLAZO A LA VALIDACIÓN DEL SUELO ESTRUCTURAL


 

Se ha generado un Informe Ejecutivo con presentación técnica, estructurada y académica sobre el análisis cuantitativo y econométrico de la acción de Nubank (NU / NUCO).

Aspectos Destacados del Documento:

1.   Estructura Multitemporal:

o   Largo Plazo (~1.026 obs.): Diagnóstico de la curvatura estructural completa mediante polinomios de Grado 6 () y Grado 3 (). Destaca la extraordinaria eficiencia histórica de retorno ajustado por riesgo (Sharpe = 5,84; Sortino = 7,05).

o   Mediano Plazo (~720 obs.): Consolidación en canal ascendente, con niveles de precio sostenidos y un Sharpe de 2,60. Proyecciones que apuntan a la resiliencia e inercia positiva hacia los $89.387,39 a 360 días.

o   Corto Plazo (~180 obs.): Fase de ajuste y contracción severa (Sharpe = -2,57; pendiente ), reflejando el agotamiento de la primera gran onda alcista.

2.   Niveles Clave y Zonas Pivote:

o   Techo Histórico: $70.440,00

o   Pivote Estructural (Punto de Inflexión de Concavidad): $40.889,60 ()

o   Soporte Crítico de Mediano Plazo: $27.800,00

3.   Conclusión Estratégica: Se recomienda un seguimiento riguroso en la zona de pivote técnico ($38.800 - $40.889,60) para validar la formación de un suelo cuantitativo y el posterior reinicio del ciclo alcista de largo plazo.

 

sábado, 29 de agosto de 2026

AGRO-ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS: QUANTITATIVE TOOLS FOR DAMAGE ASSESSMENT AND MARKET CORRECTION


 

Throughout modern development, human activity has adopted a systematic pattern of environmental and geological intervention that jeopardizes the planet's stability and the survival of communities. Behind the traditional concept of economic development, megaprojects and extractive practices have proliferated, their social and environmental costs ignored by conventional financial metrics.

This text analyzes this problem from three fundamental perspectives:

Geological intervention and critical infrastructure: Large-scale projects such as the Hidro Ituango hydroelectric dam or hydrocarbon extraction through the replacement of underground fluids alter the dynamic equilibrium of the Earth's crust. The massive accumulation of weight in reservoirs and water injection destabilizes tectonic faults, generating severe risks of induced seismicity, hydrogeological collapses, and extreme vulnerability for downstream populations.

The destruction of local economies and ecosystem services, the diversion of waterways, and the alteration of watersheds eradicate subsistence activities such as artisanal fishing and riparian agriculture. The loss of these ecosystem services represents a total negative economic value that displaces communities and undermines food sovereignty.

Privatization of profits and socialization of losses: the traditional economy has allowed business and government sectors to obtain short-term financial gains while shifting environmental liabilities and social emergencies onto the citizenry.

All of this justifies the existence and importance of the book Agro-environmental Economics.

The book Agro-environmental Economics is established as an indispensable technical and doctrinal tool to curb the destructive inertia of the current model, offering the scientific framework to move from denunciation to corrective action.

1. Application of Pigouvian Taxes as a Corrective Mechanism

The work recovers Arthur Pigou's theory to offer an operational solution to the problem of negative externalities. The book mathematically demonstrates how to calculate and implement taxes aimed at equating the private cost of an extractive activity with its real social and environmental cost:

"Real Social Cost" = "Private Production Cost" + "Valuation of Environmental Damage"

2. Economic Disincentive to Uncontrolled Extractivism

By applying environmental taxation, pollution and the destruction of watersheds cease to be profitable. The book provides indicators for commercial projects to internalize the damage, forcing corporations to adopt clean technologies if they wish to maintain financial viability.

3. Creation of Reparation and Restitution Funds

The methodology presented in the text justifies that the revenue from Pigouvian taxes should not be incorporated into the State's current expenditures, but rather should fund specific allocations to:

Restore degraded ecosystems, watersheds, and aquifer floods.

Compensate and provide economic reparations to fishing and farming communities deprived of their livelihoods. Financing the transition to truly sustainable infrastructure.

The work Agro-environmental Economics is a fundamental resource for economists, legislators, and decision-makers, providing them with the quantitative and ethical tools necessary to demand retroactive civil and fiscal liability from those who profit from environmental degradation, thus guaranteeing distributive justice and the protection of natural heritage.